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Regular version of the site

Centre for Stability and Risk Analysis

Publications
Book
Cybernetic Revolution and Global Aging. Humankind on the Way to Cybernetic Society, or the Next Hundred Years

Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin, Andrey Korotayev.

Cham: Springer, 2024.

Article
Forthcoming youth bulge in Egypt: possible sociopolitical implications

Korotayev A., Julia Zinkina.

Journal of North African Studies. 2024. Vol. 29. No. 5. P. 841-860.

Book chapter
Exploring the Competition and Technological Decoupling between the US and China. A Case Study of the Digital Silk Road and the EAEU States

Lev M. Sokolshchik, Eduard Z. Galimullin.

In bk.: Routledge Handbook of Chinese and Eurasian International Relations. L.: Routledge, 2024. Ch. 27. P. 417-431.

Working paper
The Fifth Generation of Revolution Studies? A systematic review

Korotayev A., Ustyuzhanin V., Grinin L. E. et al.

. . ResearchGate, 2024

About the Centre

The main activity of the Centre is systemic monitoring and analysis of dynamics of socio-political transformation of specific countries and regions, forecasting their social and political development and consecutive development of recommendations on overcoming and avoiding socio-political instability. 


Illustration for news: The scholars of CSRA won the best teacher prize!

The scholars of CSRA won the best teacher prize!

The director of CSRA Andrey Korotayev is among the best scientific supervisors, and Yevgeny Ivanov, the research fellow, is awarded as the best teacher by popular vote. Congratulations to our colleagues!

Illustration for news: Prospects for Russian-Indian co-operation

Prospects for Russian-Indian co-operation

Ashish Singh, the graduate of the Doctoral School of Political Science (HSE University), published a column in the Garhwal Post (India) about the prospects of Russian-Idian relations after Modi's vitis to Moscow. Yevgeny Ivanov, the reserch fellow of the CSRA, contributed to this covering the issue of education.

Illustration for news: Education in the Context of Demographic Forecasting of the Russian Population

Education in the Context of Demographic Forecasting of the Russian Population

Human Capital Multidisciplinary Research Center has published the 36th issue of the research digest. It presents the latest results of a study of demographic forecasting and its factors. The research is carried out as a part of the project "Development of multi-status demographic models for Russia accounting for the level of education and health status / life expectancy".

Illustration for news: Micah Zing is a graduate of the Master's programme "Politics. Economics. Philosophy"

Micah Zing is a graduate of the Master's programme "Politics. Economics. Philosophy"

Congratulations to our colleague Miсah Zing on the successful completion of the Master's programme "Politics. Economics. Philosophy"! Mikah was one of the brightest and most active students in his graduation class. Micah Zing was awarded a diploma with distinction for his diligence and energy.

Illustration for news: The scholars of the Centre for Stability and Risk Analysis of the Faculty of Social Sciences took part in the BRICS Academic Forum

The scholars of the Centre for Stability and Risk Analysis of the Faculty of Social Sciences took part in the BRICS Academic Forum

Leonid Issaev and Andrey Zakharov took part in the BRICS Academic Forum, which was held in Moscow from 22 to 24 May. The main goal of the forum was to develop academic exchanges, strengthen dialogue between the governments and expert community of the BRICS countries, and develop recommendations for the heads of state.

Illustration for news: A delegation from the Ethiopian Institute of Policy Studies visited the Faculty of Social Sciences.

A delegation from the Ethiopian Institute of Policy Studies visited the Faculty of Social Sciences.

On 23 June, the Faculty of Social Sciences hosted a round table ‘Federalism in Russia and Ethiopia: Origins, Development and Prospects’ with the participation of scholars from the Ethiopian Policy Studies Institute. The Ethiopian delegation was led by Professor Petros Beyene, Director of the Institute. He shared his experience of working in Ethiopia's Transitional Government in the early 1990s, which drafted the country's current constitution, which provides for a transition to a federal model. On the FSN side, First Deputy Dean Mikhail Mironyuk took part in the roundtable, noting the stabilising role of federalism in Russia in recent years. 

Illustration for news: 'Those Who Choose Sociology, Political Science, Psychology, or Governance Today Cannot Do without IT'

'Those Who Choose Sociology, Political Science, Psychology, or Governance Today Cannot Do without IT'

HSE Faculty of Social Sciences celebrates its tenth anniversary

Illustration for news: Keeping Dialogue Open with Africa: Rectors of Regional Universities Visit HSE

Keeping Dialogue Open with Africa: Rectors of Regional Universities Visit HSE

At the end of April 2024, HSE University hosted an international conference ‘Export of Russian Education to Africa: Challenges and Opportunities.’ The event was attended by leaders of universities from Mali, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Niger, and Guinea. Together with their Russian counterparts from government bodies, scientific and higher educational institutions, they outlined paths for the development of humanitarian relations and agreed on possible cooperation in the face of a changing world order.

Illustration for news: Vadim Ustyuzhanin's presentation for the XI scientific conference “Neighbors in Science”

Vadim Ustyuzhanin's presentation for the XI scientific conference “Neighbors in Science”

The conference took place on the Perm campus of the National Research University Higher School of Economics (HSE - Perm).

Illustration for news: The book 'Terrorism and Political Contention. New Perspectives on North Africa and the Sahel Region' has been published by Springer

The book 'Terrorism and Political Contention. New Perspectives on North Africa and the Sahel Region' has been published by Springer

The director and deputy director of CSRA Andrey V. Korotaev and Leonid M. Issaev, as well as Janos Besenyo from the University of Obuda (Hungary). The work clearly shows the organizational forms of terrorism in the MENA region and the Sahel. The authors reveal the motives and influence of big powers and external actors on the situation in this part of the globe.