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Regular version of the site

Centre for Stability and Risk Analysis

Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome

Edited by: C. Christopher, L. E. Grinin, A. Korotayev.

Springer, 2023.

Forthcoming youth bulge in Egypt: possible sociopolitical implications

Andrey Korotayev, Zinkina J. V.

Journal of North African Studies. 2023. P. 1-21.

Book chapter
Global Aging: An Integral Problem of the Future. How to Turn a Problem into a Development Driver?

Leonid Grinin, Anton Grinin, Korotayev A.

In bk.: Reconsidering the Limits to Growth. A Report to the Russian Association of the Club of Rome. Springer, 2023. P. 117-135.

Working paper
Revolutions and democracy. Can democracies stop violence?

Ustyuzhanin V., Korotayev A.

social sciences & humanities. SAGE advance, 2022

About the Centre

The main activity of the Centre is systemic monitoring and analysis of dynamics of socio-political transformation of specific countries and regions, forecasting their social and political development and consecutive development of recommendations on overcoming and avoiding socio-political instability. 

Illustration for news: CISR director gave an interview to OTR TV-channel about Russian-African relations

CISR director gave an interview to OTR TV-channel about Russian-African relations

Flags of the Russian Federation in raging Africa. We are discussing political crises in the continent and prospects for Russia-Africa partnership. The Ministry of Economic Development says Russia is considering the possibility of building a logistics hub in East Africa. What projects will it help boost? And how Russian citizens can benefit from it ?Director of the Center Andrey Korotaev shared his opinion on these issues

Andrey Korotayev's presentation at the conference of the International Big History Association (IBHA)

The CSRA director's report is entitled "Patterns of complexity growth in the Big History. A preliminary quantitative analysis". In his presentation, Andrey Korotayev talks about recent findings, namely about two patterns of how Big History is getting more complex. The first pattern is a slowdown in cosmic evolutionary development that had being taking place several billion years after the Big Bang. The second is the acceleration of biosocial development, which began on Earth about 4 billion years ago.

The brochure about the Center has been published!

The brochure contains basic information about the CSRA: history of origin, areas of activity, key achievements, publications, information about cooperation with educational programs, geography of expeditions and foreign partners.The brochure is of interest to both the HSE community and a wider audience.

Illustration for news: CSRA took part in the celebration of the FSN's anniversary

CSRA took part in the celebration of the FSN's anniversary

On April 22, the Faculty of Social Sciences of the HSE celebrated its 9th anniversary. The Center for the Study of Stability and Risks became one of the participants in this event. At the site of the Center, one could learn about the history of our unit and its current activities, as well as try Arabic cuisine and participate in a quiz related to the CSRA research interests.

The head of CSRA presented on the Complexity Growth Patterns in Big History studies

Andrey Korotaev presented his report "Complexity Growth Patterns in Big History: Preliminary Results of a Quantitative Analysis" at the webinar "Big History Studies from Russia: Complexity, Crises, Singularities", organized by the Eurasian Center for Megahistorical and Systemic Forecasting (Moscow, Russia) together with the Symbiosis School for Liberal Arts (India) and the Oberlin Big History Movement (OBHM) in Tokyo (Japan).

Scholars of CSRA took part in the plenary session 'Africa in a Changing World'

The session was held on the basis on Yasin (April) Conference organized by HSE University annually.
During the session the speakers talked a lot about the challenges Africa is facing in the 21st century, as well as the opportunities that appear for this continent in a changing geopolitical context. The prospects for cooperation between Russia and African states were discussed in particular. 

Yevgeny Ivanov spoke about the history of political and legal thought in the North Caucasus

The CSRA research fellow presented his report at the Lomonosov conference, which takes place from April 10 to 21 at the Moscow State University.

The database on revolutionary events in the 21st century has been updated.

Data for 2022 was added.

Yevgeny Ivanov spoke at the СYPS RUPSA (RAPN) Conference "Political Science at a Breaking Point: the Old Paradigm vs. the New Reality"

The CSRA reserach fellow presented his report on monumental politics in modern Dagestan. Yevgeny Ivanov paid attention to the recent trends in the monumental politics and illustrated his perfomance with few bright cases.

Leonid Issaev took part in the 14th Al Jazeera Forum in Qatar

On March 11-12, 2023, the Al Jazeera Forum was held in Doha. The Al Jazeera Research Center organises the Forum annually. As a rule, well-known scientists and political figures from all over the world act as speakers of the event. The opening of the forum was attended by Sheikh Hamad Al Thani, the Chairman of the Directoral Board of Al Jazeera, and Majid Al Ansari, the official representative of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Qatar and the adviser to the Prime Minister.