About the Centre

Originally the Centre was founded as the Laboratory for Monitoring the Risks of Socio-Political Destabilization in 2015 by Andrey Korotayev, a prominent scholar who is famous for his interdisciplinary works. Since then the Centre has focused on studying various typies of socio-political and economic processes both at the global and macroregional levels.
In particular, a lot of attention is brought to the Afrasian zone of instability including the Middle East, Sub-Saharan Africa and Post-Soviet countries. The Centre’s scholars conducts quantitative research using specialized databases as well as qualitative research relying on unique data collected during numerous 'field trips'.

The academic supervisor is the professor, foreign member of the Russian Academy of Sciences, and ex-president of the Kyrgyz Republic - Askar Akaev. Being a Doctor of Sciences in Physics and Math, Askar Akaev prefers quantitative analysis methods. In particular, professor Akaev creates forecast models and plausible scenarios of macro processes on both global and regional scales. 

The key activities of the Centre are monitoring of socio-political and economic transformations from the systemic perspective as well as analysis of specific countries and regions, forecasting their development prospects, and consecutive elaboration of recommendations on overcoming and avoiding socio-political instability. 

What do we do?

• monitoring of the key tendencies across specific countries and regions, as well as global trends;
• finding out factors that stimulate the destabilization of the socio-political situation in selected countries and/or regions;
• calculating risks of instability;
• recognizing governing parameters which can be affected by certain state policies;
• development of grounded forecasts considering further trends of socio-political stability for countries and regions (special interest in the countries affected by Arab Spring, the Central Asian and the South Caucasus states);
• creating the system of forecasting dynamic structural-demographic risks of destabilization;
• elaboration practical recommendations for countries and regions on avoiding social and political risks, and also on forming and correcting country’s policies in various spheres: demographic, economic, social, migration and so on.

CSRA_HSE_2023 (PDF, 1.94 Mb) 

=======================================================
TO READ ABOUT US IN OTHER LANGUAGES:

• Arabic (العربية)