Revolutionary and Quasi-revolutionary Episodes Dataset RAQED (2000-2025), V1.4
A revolutionary episode is an attempt to challenge the existing political order by extra-institutional means through mass mobilization. An event is therefore included in the dataset if:
- peak participation exceeded 1,000 people;
- participants demands are against the political order: the resignation of the head of state, a change of the political system, or secession of a territory. Protests over sectoral issues only (wages, tariffs, a particular law) are not included;
- participants used extrainstitutional methods, i.e. tried to change the political order in an irregular way.
For each episode, the database records:
- country, region, name, and exact start and end dates;
- outcome: full success (the incumbent is removed), limited success (concessions, reforms, a peace agreement), failure, or ongoing;
- tactic: unarmed (including spontaneous clashes with stones and Molotov cocktails) or armed;
- goals: democratization, social justice, Islamist, separatism, or other;
- behaviour of the security forces: mass defection of the army or police to the protesters’ side, and cases in which the revolution ends in a military coup;
- confirmed foreign support for the opposition;
- lower and upper estimates of peak participation.
Data (updated 06.10.2026):
RAQED V1.4 (XLSX, 143 Kb)
CODEBOOK RAQED 1.4 (PDF, 1.12 Mb)
All published works that present research results based on this data must cite the source:
Ustyuzhanin V.V., Semichev D.M., Grinin L.E., Korotayev A.V. (2026). New opportunities for the analysis of revolutions: Introducing a database of 21st-century revolutions [in Russian]. Sociological Review, 25(1), 9–61. https://doi.org/10.17323/1728-192X-2026-1-9-61
Ustyuzhanin V.V., Semichev D.M., Grinin L.E., Korotaev A.V., (2026). Revolutionary Database (2000–2025), V1.4. https://social.hse.ru/mr/rev_bd
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